ESTIMATES OF THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION USING THE INDICATOR OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOR 1991-2021
УДК 330.357
Abstract
Today it is difficult to imagine an analysis of the country's economic security without assessing its economic growth. In educational and scientific publications, when assessing the economic growth of the state, the gross domestic product indicator (hereinafter referred to as GDP) is used, perhaps the main indicator of the economic growth of our state.
The assessment of the country's economic growth involves the use of a system of indicators, on the basis of which a quantitative and qualitative analysis of the factors of ensuring the vital activity of the state is possible. The purpose of the system of indicators of economic growth of the state is to propose measures to create a clear state policy designed to minimize the risk of threats to economic security and ensure stable and sustainable development of the political situation and the progressive growth of the country's economy.
This article presents the actual values of the GDP of the economic growth of the Russian Federation in the form of time series in various estimates, namely, in current and constant prices, as well as in the national currency — Russian rubles and US dollars — changes from 1991 to 2021.
In the article, along with a standard set of dynamics indicators, calculations of absolute and relative accelerations of the time series are presented, which make it possible to comprehensively consider the processes of changes in the economic growth of our state.
Downloads
Metrics
References
Курс экономической теории: Общие основы экономической теории. Микроэкономика. Макроэкономика. Основы национальной экономики: учеб. пособие для студентов вузов. М., 2007.
Добрынин А. И., Тарасевич Л. С. Экономическая теория: учебник для вузов. СПб., 2009.
Абалкин Л. И. Логика экономического роста. М., 2002.
Асемоглу Д. Введение в теорию современного экономического роста. М., 2018.
Джонс Ч. Введение в теорию экономического роста: учебник. М., 2018.
Илларионов А. Актуальные проблемы экономического роста в России // Общество и экономика. 2002. № 8/9. С. 27-35.
Мельянцев В. А. Долгосрочные тенденции, контртенденции и факторы экономического роста развитых и развивающихся стран. М., 2015.
Шумилин О. В Темпы роста мировой экономики и экономики Российской Федерации // Экономическая безопасность личности, общества, государства: проблемы и пути обеспечения: материалы ежегодной всероссийской научно-практической конференция, 6 апреля 2017 г.: в 2 частях. СПб., 2017.
Шумилин О. В. Исторические временные ряды по номинальному ВВП Российской Федерации: 19912018 годы // Вестник Московского университета МВД России. 2020. № 2.
Шумилин О. В. Номинальный ВВП в евро как показатель экономического роста Российской Федерации // Экономическая безопасность личности, общества, государства: проблемы и пути обеспечения: материалы Международной научно-практической конференции, Санкт-Петербург, 08 апреля 2022 года / сост. Н. В. Мячин. СПб., 2022.
Квитчук М. А., Шумилин О. В. Экономическая статистика: курс лекций. СПб., 2012.
Официальный сайт Росстата. URL: http://www. https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/210/document/13396 (дата обращения: 28.12.2022).
Официальный сайт Всемирного банка. URL: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?view=chart&locations=RU (дата обращения: 28.12.2022).
REFERENCES
Course of economic theory: General fundamentals of economic theory. Microeconomics. Macroeconomics. Fundamentals of the National economy: studies. manual for university students. Moscow, 2007.
Dobrynin A. I., Tarasevich L. S. Economic Theory: textbook for Universities. St. Petersburg, 2009.
Abalkin L. I. Logic of economic growth. Moscow, 2002.
Asemoglu D. Introduction to the theory of Modern Economic Growth. Moscow, 2018.
Jones Ch. Introduction to the theory of economic growth: textbook. Moscow, 2018.
Illarionov A. Actual problems of economic growth in Russia. Society and Economics. 2002. No. 8/9. Pp. 27-35.
Melyantsev V. A. Long-term trends, countertrends and factors of economic growth in developed and developing countries. Moscow, 2015.
Shumilin O. V. The growth rates of the world economy and the economy of the Russian Federation. Economic security of the individual, society, state: problems and ways of ensuring: materials of the annual All-Russian Scientific and Practical conference, April 6, 2017: in 2 parts. St. Petersburg, 2017.
Shumilin O. V. Historical time series by nominal GDP of the Russian Federation: 1991-2018. Bulletin of the Moscow University of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia. 2020. № 2.
Shumilin O. V. Nominal GDP in euros as an indicator of economic growth of the Russian Federation. Economic security of the individual, society, state: problems and ways of ensuring: materials of the International scientific and practical conference, St. Petersburg, April 08, 2022 / comp. N. V. Myachin. St. Petersburg, 2022.
Kvitchuk M. A., Shumilin O. V. Economic statistics: a course of lectures. St. Petersburg, 2012.
The official website of Rosstat. URL: http://www. https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/210/document/13396 (date of access: 28.12.2022).
Official website of the World Bank. URL: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?view=chart&locations=RU (date of access: 28.12.2022).
Copyright (c) 2023 Олег Валентинович Шумилин, Георгий Вартанович Гиоев, Николай Николаевич Кузин
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Economics Profession Business is a golden publisher, as we allow self-archiving, but most importantly we are fully transparent about your rights.
Authors may present and discuss their findings ahead of publication: at biological or scientific conferences, on preprint servers, in public databases, and in blogs, wikis, tweets, and other informal communication channels.
Economics Profession Business (EPB) allows authors to deposit manuscripts (currently under review or those for intended submission to EPB) in non-commercial, pre-print servers such as ArXiv.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
