FORECASTING THE IMPLEMENTATION OF STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS OF THE MUNICIPALITY

УДК 332.145

  • O. A. Chirkova Rubtsovsky Industrial Institute (branch) of Polzunov Altai State Technical University (Rubtsovsk, Russia) Email: olgach2010@mail.ru
Keywords: forecasting, regulation, implementation, strategic programs, municipal education

Abstract

Forecasting is a prediction, a prediction of the development of the selected object of research in the future, based on the consideration of the patterns of development of this object in the past. The article presents the main goals, objectives and principles of forecasting the process of implementing strategic programs in the territory of the municipality. The algorithm and model of the process of implementing such programs proposed by us will make it possible to increase the effectiveness of regulating the process of implementing strategic direction programs, identify threats in the socio-economic development of the municipality in question, as well as immediately respond to changes in the external environment of the municipality and the internal needs of its development, develop and make decisions regarding the process in question, as well as conduct its correction. A model for predicting threats to municipal social and economic development is also proposed, which will allow taking into account factors that may affect the process under consideration, which will allow developing a set of measures to eliminate threats and increase the effectiveness of the process considered in this article.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

Author Biography

O. A. Chirkova, Rubtsovsky Industrial Institute (branch) of Polzunov Altai State Technical University (Rubtsovsk, Russia)

кандидат экономических наук, старший преподаватель кафедры экономики и управления

References

Васютина Е. С., Королькова Н. А., Алмакаева Р. Н. Архитектура системы документов стратегического планирования: особенности становления на современном этапе развития // Экономика и предпринимательство. 2016. № 4 (ч. 1). С. 966-971.

Понятие и параметры прогнозирования. URL: https://imccenter.ru/ponyatiye-i-parametry-prognozirovaniya/ (дата обращения: 14.03.2023).

Аганбегян А. Г. О неотложных мерах по возобновлению социально-экономического роста // Проблемы прогнозирования. 2019. № 1. С. 3-15.

Афанасьев В. Н., Юзбашев М. М. Анализ временных рядов и прогнозирование. М., 2001.

Мандрикова О. В., Глушкова Н. В. Моделирование и анализ ионосферных данных на основе совмещения вейвлет-преобразования и моделей авторегрессии // Математические методы распознавания образов. 2011. № 1. С. 110-123.

Гранберг А. Г. Основы региональной экономики. М., 2001. 495 с.

Дуброва Т. А., Павлов Д. Э., Ткачев О. В. Корреляционно-регрессионный анализ в системе Statistica: учебное пособие. М., 1999.

Комков Н. И. Модели программно-целевого управления. М.: Наука, 1981.

Светуньков И. С., Светуньков С. Г. Методы социально-экономического прогнозирования: учебник и практикум. Модели и методы. М., 2016. 448 с.

Проблема классификации методов прогнозирования URL: https://www.mbureau.ru/blog/klassifikaciya-metodovprognozirovaniya-po-e-tihonovu (дата обращения: 14.03.2023).

REFERENCES

Vasyutina E. S., Korolkova N. A., Almakaeva R. N. Architecture of the system of strategic planning documents: features of formation at the present stage of development. Economics and entrepreneurship. 2016. No. 4 (part 1). Pp. 966-971.

The concept and parameters of prediction. URL: https://imccenter.ru/ponyatiye-i-parametry-prognozirovaniya/ (date of access: 03.14.2023).

Aganbegyan A. G. On urgent measures to resume socio-economic growth. Problems of forecasting. 2019. No. 1. Pp. 3-15.

Afanasyev V. N., Yuzbashev M. M. Time series analysis and forecasting. Moscow, 2001.

Mandrikova O. V., Glushkova N. V. Modeling and analysis of ionospheric data based on combining wavelet transform and autoregression models. Mathematical methods of pattern recognition. 2011. No. 1. Pp. 110-123.

Granberg A. G. Fundamentals of Regional Economics. Moscow, 2001. 495 p.

Dubrova T. A., Pavlov D. E., Tkachev O. V. Correlation and regression analysis in the Statistica system. A study guide. Moscow, 1999.

Komkov N. I. Models of program-target management. Moscow, 1981.

Svetunkov I. S., Svetunkov S. G. Methods of socio-economic forecasting: textbook and workshop. Models and methods. Moscow, 2016. 448 p.

The problem of classification of forecasting methods. URL: https://www.mbureau.ru/blog/klassifikaciya-metodovprognozirovaniya-po-e-tihonovu (date of access: 14.03.2023).

Published
2024-03-17
How to Cite
1. Chirkova O. A. FORECASTING THE IMPLEMENTATION OF STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS OF THE MUNICIPALITY // Economics Profession Business, 2024. № 1. P. 110-115. URL: http://journal.asu.ru/ec/article/view/epb202415.
Section
ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ НАУКИ