DEMOGRAPHIC LIMITATIONS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURAL REGIONS
Abstract
The article discusses the features of the demographic development of agro-industrial regions in 1997-2018 against the background of Russia. Their intra-group differences were identified and measured, the relationship between the population and the economy, between demographic growth and socio-economic is described. The risks of population decline for sustainable development of agro-industrial regions are identified. Based on the analysis of demographic and socio-economic statistics, it is shown that depopulation processes in the agro-industrial regions are less intensive compared to the average Russian region, and in some of them population growth was observed. In terms of population, these regions are characterized by significant intra-group differentiation, which decreases over time. There is a positive statistically significant relationship between the demographic and socioeconomic potential of the agro-industrial regions, and negative between the dynamics of the population and the dynamics of the gross regional product, as well as the number and real incomes. It is concluded that population reduction can lead to depopulation of large territories and loss of social control over them, a shortage of labor resources and limited economic growth, and a reduction in the resource base for the development of the social sphere and demographic reproduction.
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